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Challenges for Philippine Food and Agriculture : A Year-End Food and Agri Business Conference (Part 2)

Challenges and prospects for 2008 Commodity Highlights

Palay. Growth will continue to be moderate with the increased adoption of modern productivity technologies promoted through the GMA Rice Program as area harvested will basically stay the same. The higher budget for rice production will also be a plus factor for the sector’s growth. The PAGASA’s forecast indicates the start of a weak to strong La Nina which will likely last until early April of 2008. This can be good for production depending on its severity. A number of international agencies have indicated that there may be tight supply in 2008 with increased trade due to strong consumption. Rising demand and tight supply will keep world rice prices high.

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Challenges for Philippine Food and Agriculture : A Year-End Food and Agri Business Conference (Part 1)

Economists forecast an economic growth for 2007 of 5.9% - 6.5%, a mild slide from the earlier projection of 6.1%-6.7%. The reasons : declining exports, appreciating peso and slowdown in remittances from overseas contract workers. Last ear, the GDP grew by 5.4%.

The agriculture sector directly contributes about 17% of GDP and perhaps nearly 50% if indirect effects are included. For 2007, the UA&P-CFA projects growth at 4.1%, as compared to 3.*% in 206. The government’s target is at 4.0%-5.0%.

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